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เรือคายัคราคาถูกๆมีขายแล้วที่นี้

ละเลยกับ 80% ที่เหลือนะ..ราคาเรือคายัคตกปลา ในทางการลงทุนก็คล้ายๆ กัน คือ 20% ของนักลงทุน จะได้กำไร 80% ของตลาด นี้งหมด ดังนั้นลี่งที่จะบอก คือ ถ้าเราคิดจะไปแข่งกินเงินคนอื่นในตลาดหลักทรัพย์ หรีอซือๆขายๆ ลงทุนระยะนี้น เข้าไว ออกไว มันก็อาจเป็นเรองยากที่ต้องไปแข่งขัน เพราะมันก็คือการ ’’เก็งกำไร” นอกจากนี้เรายังประยุกต์ใช้'ในการศึกษา จังหวะการลงทุนได้ด้วย เพราะถ้าเราเชื่อว่ามันเป็นแบบนั้นแล้ว ช่วงเวลาที่คนอื่นขาดทุน จะเป็นเวลาที่ราคาหุ้นได้ปรับตัว ลงมามากแล้ว และผู้ลงทุนมักจะทนไม่ไหวขายไปเมื่อถึงจุดตํ่าสุดพอดี การที่เราได้แนวคิดนี้มา ก็เหมือนว่าได้รู้เรือคายัคมือสอง แนวทางการเข้าซือแล้ว แต่เราต้องไปหาวิธีการดูว่า จะซือเมื่อใด เพราะคำว่า “จุดตํ่าสุด’’ คงไม่มีใครจะสามารถทราบ ล่วงหน้าได้
ข้อที่เจ็ด ข้อสุดท้ายแล้ว ก็คือ จากที่กล่าวมานี้งหมด ประหนึ่งว่า เรากำลังจะต้องการเปลี่ยนจาก “คนฝากเงิน ในธนาคาร” เป็น “เจ้าของกิจการผ่านตลาดหลักทรัพย์” ซึ่งอาจจะไม่ต้องเหนื่อยบรีหาร แต่ต้องเหนื่อยในการ monitor หรอตรวจสอบ ซึ่งเราเองก็กล้าๆ กลัวๆ เพราะเราเองอาจจะใหม่ต่อเรองเหล่านี้ดังนั้น “การศึกษาหาความรู้ และการลอง ราคาเรือคายัค ผิดลองถูก” เป็นเรองสำคัญ จึงแนะน่าให้ “ชิมหุ้น” คือ ซือขำๆ เพียงเล็กๆ น้อยๆ ในแต่ละตัวดูก่อนว่า “ตัวไหนอร่อย ตัวไหนไม่อร่อย’’ใช้เงินเล็กๆน้อยๆของเราซึ่งจะว่าไปก็ไม่มากไปกว่าเงินที่เราไปเที่ยวต่างประเทศหรีอผ่อนรถด้วยชำ เรียกได้ว่า “เรียนรู้จากการปฏิปีติ” ควบคู่ไปกับ “การด้นคว้า” แต่ความรู้นี้งสินที่ได้อาจจะเป็นการออกแรงเพียง 20% เพื่อเพิ่มรายได้อีก 80%ในอนาคตก็ได้นะเออ..
มี สมาชิกถามมาว่า อัตราแลกเปลี่ยนมีผลกระทบยังไงกับหุ้นส่งออก อยากให้ช่วยคำนวณให้ดูแบบเป็นรูปธรรม หมีเองก็ไม่ค่อยมั่นใจ แต่ลองคำนวณดูให้คร่าวๆ นะ
ฃํ่นแรกเราต้องมีความรู้เกี่ยวกันอัตรากำไรหรอ “margin” ก่อนคือยังงีนะ..สมมติเราผลิตปากกาได้1ด้าม เอาไปขายที่ราคา 10 บาท โดยเรือ คา ยั ค พลาสติกที่เรามีต้นทุนมั่งสินของปากกาด้ามนั้นอยู่ที่ 9.5 บาท เท่ากันว่า เราจะมีกำไรต่อปากกา 1 ด้าม อยู่ที่ 0.5 บาท หรอคิดเป็นอัตรากำไร 5% ของราคาขาย แต่สมมติว่ามีอะไรก็ตามที่ทำให้ราคาขายสามารถขยับฃึน ได้ ยกตัวอย่างเช่น จากราคาขาย 10 บาท กลายเป็น 11 บาท ต้นทุนสินค้ายังคงเดิมที่ 9.5 บาท กลายเป็นว่ากำไรต่อด้าม อยู่ที่ 1.5บาทต่อด้ามหรอมีกำไรเพิ่มฃึนถึง 200% ทีเดียวมั่งๆที่รายรับรวมสูงฃึนเพียง 10%
เรามาลองใส,ตัวเลขให้มันสมจรงฃึนมานิดนึงนะ (เพื่อให้ง่ายในการอธิบาย หมีจะสมมติให้ต้นจําหน่ายเรือคายัคทุนต่อการผลิต ต่อหน่วย ไม่ว่าจะมากหรอน้อย เป็นอัตราเดียวกันหมด และหมีไม่เอาภาษีมารวมคำนวณนะ ไม่งํ่นเลขมันจะไม่กลม)

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Comment is pending administrator's approval.

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Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

Comment is pending approval.

Comment is pending administrator's approval.

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